ObjectiveTo understand the infection characteristics and risk factors for infection by analyzing multicenter clinical data of newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) patients.MethodsThis study reviewed 564 NDMM patients from 2 large tertiary hospitals from January 2018 to December 2021, of whom 395 comprised the training set and 169 comprised the validation set. Thirty-eight variables from first admission records were collected, including patient demographic characteristics, clinical scores and characteristics, laboratory indicators, complications, and medication history, and key variables were screened using the Lasso method. Multiple machine learning algorithms were compared, and the best performing algorithm was used to build a machine learning prediction model. The model performance was evaluated using the AUC, accuracy, and Youden’s index. Finally, the SHAP package was used to assess two cases and demonstrate the application of the model.ResultsIn this study, 15 important key variables were selected, namely, age, ECOG, osteolytic disruption, VCD, neutrophils, lymphocytes, monocytes, hemoglobin, platelets, albumin, creatinine, lactate dehydrogenase, affected globulin, β2 microglobulin, and preventive medicine. The predictive performance of the XGBoost model was significantly better than that of the other models (AUROC: 0.8664), and it also performed well for the expected dataset (accuracy: 68.64%).ConclusionA machine learning algorithm was used to establish an infection prediction model for NDMM patients that was simple, convenient, validated, and performed well in reducing the incidence of infection and improving the prognosis of patients.
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Dr. David Lowemann, M.Sc, Ph.D., is a co-founder of the Institute for the Future of Human Potential, where he leads the charge in pioneering Self-Enhancement Science for the Success of Society. With a keen interest in exploring the untapped potential of the human mind, Dr. Lowemann has dedicated his career to pushing the boundaries of human capabilities and understanding.
Armed with a Master of Science degree and a Ph.D. in his field, Dr. Lowemann has consistently been at the forefront of research and innovation, delving into ways to optimize human performance, cognition, and overall well-being. His work at the Institute revolves around a profound commitment to harnessing cutting-edge science and technology to help individuals lead more fulfilling and intelligent lives.
Dr. Lowemann’s influence extends to the educational platform BetterSmarter.me, where he shares his insights, findings, and personal development strategies with a broader audience. His ongoing mission is shaping the way we perceive and leverage the vast capacities of the human mind, offering invaluable contributions to society’s overall success and collective well-being.